Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 3.091065 3.629233 4.203625 4.859193 5.583561 6.356458 7.240414
2024-10-13 2.370468 3.116826 3.973880 5.017393 6.240110 7.614441 9.262697
2024-10-20 1.827890 2.681380 3.730849 5.083914 6.749781 8.702646 11.132971
2024-10-27 1.377280 2.259915 3.421308 5.001539 7.035829 9.509379 12.685150
2024-11-03 1.117410 2.031582 3.308943 5.127979 7.556325 10.595512 14.592316
2024-11-10 0.905499 1.824576 3.185977 5.208725 7.998888 11.580586 16.389158
2024-11-17 0.693317 1.569273 2.952346 5.100748 8.164393 12.197222 17.721305
2024-11-24 0.523061 1.341535 2.722240 4.963639 8.263545 12.710928 18.916587
2024-12-01 0.408461 1.183812 2.575848 4.927337 8.487438 13.383359 20.322293
2024-12-08 0.313035 1.036279 2.422207 4.858736 8.649603 13.964614 21.609215
2024-12-15 0.274811 1.001083 2.457253 5.086732 9.251596 15.164218 23.748547
2024-12-22 0.220286 0.911099 2.378919 5.119018 9.554518 15.946229 25.330172
2024-12-29 0.196663 0.894695 2.441564 5.397505 10.254713 17.325779 27.785524
2025-01-05 0.169750 0.861019 2.465848 5.610729 10.861238 18.586959 30.104965
2025-01-12 0.137568 0.799421 2.424380 5.703673 11.279311 19.583348 32.073036
2025-01-19 0.100565 0.703245 2.294065 5.624372 11.414234 20.163985 33.463056
2025-01-26 0.082722 0.665547 2.286221 5.766583 11.909767 21.284952 35.634822
2025-02-02 0.065635 0.620356 2.253418 5.856668 12.318385 22.280243 37.638235
2025-02-09 0.044623 0.539431 2.120063 5.740521 12.373847 22.739854 38.874092
2025-02-16 0.028337 0.461780 1.978010 5.592020 12.362797 23.091593 39.952935
2025-02-23 0.018852 0.410433 1.894429 5.552798 12.534265 23.723064 41.445650
2025-03-02 0.011528 0.359036 1.798752 5.478291 12.637220 24.245916 42.782173
2025-03-09 0.009814 0.357770 1.852244 5.726296 13.320346 25.690285 45.502878